Allan Lichtman 2024 President Picker. He has correctly predicted the outcome of nine elections out. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016.

In doing so, he dispels. Historian allan lichtman, known for his election prediction model the keys to the white house, has issued an update on when he will make a formal prediction for.